Events
Politics, economics, sports, and world events — real-time probabilities, analysis, and market data.
Markets by Category
2,826 total marketsScreener
Filter and screen prediction markets by category, volume, probability, and resolution date.
News
Breaking stories and analysis on prediction markets and forecasting.
Prediction Markets Price In 65% Chance of Rate Cut by September
Polymarket Volume Hits Record $2B in Single-Day Trading
Election Betting Odds Shift After Major Policy Announcement
Blog
Deep dives, commentary, and research on forecasting and prediction accuracy.
Are Prediction Markets More Accurate Than Polls? A 2026 Analysis
How to Use Prediction Markets as a Portfolio Hedging Tool
The Regulation Debate: Will the SEC Embrace Prediction Markets?
Economics
GDP, inflation, Fed rates, and recession probabilities — macro-fundamental markets with direct implications for portfolios.
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?: Above 494000
Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?: 0 (0 bps)