Events
Politics, economics, sports, and world events — real-time probabilities, analysis, and market data.
News
Breaking stories and analysis on prediction markets and forecasting.
Prediction Markets Price In 65% Chance of Rate Cut by September
Polymarket Volume Hits Record $2B in Single-Day Trading
Election Betting Odds Shift After Major Policy Announcement
Blog
Deep dives, commentary, and research on forecasting and prediction accuracy.
Are Prediction Markets More Accurate Than Polls? A 2026 Analysis
How to Use Prediction Markets as a Portfolio Hedging Tool
The Regulation Debate: Will the SEC Embrace Prediction Markets?
Politics
Elections, policy decisions, and geopolitical outcomes — the most popular prediction market category by volume and participation.
Will the US pass a new immigration bill by end of 2026?
Will there be a snap election in the UK before 2027?
Will the EU impose new sanctions on Russia in Q3 2026?
Economics & Macro
Interest rate decisions, inflation prints, and recession probabilities — macro-fundamental markets with direct implications for portfolios.
Will the Fed cut rates at the June 2026 meeting?
Will US CPI exceed 4% YoY in any 2026 month?
Will the US enter a recession in 2026 (NBER)?
Financial Markets
Price target and milestone markets for equities, crypto, and indices — directly connected to your screener and portfolio data.
Will Bitcoin exceed $150K before July 2026?
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000 in 2026?
Will NVIDIA market cap surpass $5T in 2026?
World Events
Wars, treaties, climate events, and major geopolitical developments — high-impact, low-frequency events that move global markets.
Will a ceasefire be reached in the Russia-Ukraine conflict by end of 2026?
Will a Category 5 hurricane make US landfall in 2026?
Will a new WHO pandemic declaration be issued in 2026?
Sports
Match outcomes, tournament winners, and season-long bets — the original prediction market vertical with massive liquidity.
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Champions League?
Will the Lakers make the 2026 NBA Finals?
Will a new 100m world record be set at 2026 World Athletics?
Entertainment & Culture
Awards shows, tech launches, viral events, and pop culture — fun, high-engagement markets with frequent resolution.
Will a Marvel film gross over $2B worldwide in 2026?
Will Apple announce AR glasses at WWDC 2026?
Will Taylor Swift announce a new album in 2026?