Natural Gas
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Price Chart
At a Glance
Natural gas (Henry Hub) is a key energy commodity used for electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes. Prices are highly seasonal — peaking in winter heating season and dipping in shoulder months. The US has become a major LNG exporter, linking domestic prices to global markets. Supply is driven by associated gas from shale oil production and dedicated gas drilling, while demand is increasingly influenced by power generation switching between gas and renewables.
Supply & Demand
Supply
Demand
Key Drivers
Weather / Seasonality
bullishHeating and cooling degree days are the primary short-term price driver. Cold winters and hot summers spike demand.
Storage Levels
neutralUS underground storage relative to the 5-year average signals tightness or surplus. Currently near average at 1,780 Bcf.
LNG Export Capacity
bullishNew LNG terminals are linking US gas to higher global prices. Export capacity is expanding from 14 to 20+ Bcf/d by 2027.
Associated Gas Production
bearishGas produced alongside oil in the Permian basin adds supply regardless of gas prices, creating a structural supply floor.
Coal-to-Gas Switching
neutralLow gas prices incentivize power plants to switch from coal to gas, creating a demand floor around $2.00-2.50/MMBtu.
Renewable Competition
bearishSolar and wind capacity additions are displacing gas-fired power generation in shoulder seasons.
Historical Returns
| Year | Annual Return | Performance |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +42.50% | |
| 2024 | -18.20% | |
| 2023 | -43.80% | |
| 2022 | +20.10% | |
| 2021 | +46.90% | |
| 2020 | +16.00% | |
| 2019 | -25.50% | |
| 2018 | -0.40% | |
| 2017 | -20.70% | |
| 2016 | +59.20% |
Related Commodities
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