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US · Real EstateAI Analytics

Real Estate

US housing market data, REITs, and mortgage rates — paired with AI-driven valuation, investment analysis, and market intelligence. Every AI output shows its drivers and confidence so you can see how the model got there, not just what it concluded.

REIT Screener

Filter and screen REITs by sector, yield, cap rate, and more.

News

Breaking stories and analysis on US real estate and housing markets.

Fed Holds Rates Steady — Mortgage Market Reacts to Hawkish Outlook
Rates20d ago

Fed Holds Rates Steady — Mortgage Market Reacts to Hawkish Outlook

Multifamily Construction Starts Fall 22% as Financing Tightens
Construction20d ago

Multifamily Construction Starts Fall 22% as Financing Tightens

Sun Belt Markets See Inventory Surge, Cooling Price Growth
Housing20d ago

Sun Belt Markets See Inventory Surge, Cooling Price Growth

Blog

Deep dives, commentary, and research on real estate investing.

REITs vs. Direct Ownership: A Risk-Adjusted Return Comparison
Analysis22d ago

REITs vs. Direct Ownership: A Risk-Adjusted Return Comparison

The Office REIT Comeback: Separating Signal from Noise
Deep Dive24d ago

The Office REIT Comeback: Separating Signal from Noise

Build-to-Rent: The Fastest Growing Segment in US Housing
Strategy26d ago

Build-to-Rent: The Fastest Growing Segment in US Housing

AI Property & Deal Workbench

Live model

Run a US property through the valuation, underwriting, and market-intelligence models. Every output includes the drivers behind it, a confidence band, and a plain-English commentary — so you can see what the AI concluded and why.

1427 Maple Creek Dr
1427 Maple Creek Dr, Austin, TX 78704
Built 2014·2,480 SF
AI Valuation (AVM)
Updated just now
$812,400-1.2% YoY
Confidence band: $781,000$843,8003.9%)
$781,000point estimate$843,800
12-mo forecast
+2.8%
Rent estimate
$3,950/mo
Cap rate (mkt)
5.10%
Condition
84/100
What drove this valuation
42 comps · SHAP-style
Recent comps (0.5mi)34%
School zone score18%
Lot & interior sqft22%
Condition (CV score)14%
Submarket HPI trend12%
Ensemble AVM (gradient boosting + hedonic regression) with computer-vision condition scoring. Confidence band reflects comp density, feature coverage, and recent price volatility.
AI Underwrite
$805Kpurchase · 75% LTV @ 6.85%
ScoreB
5Y IRR
11.4%
Cash-on-cash
4.1%
Going-in cap
5.10%
Exit cap
5.50%
NOI (Y1)
$28K
DSCR
1.18
Equity check
$201K
Debt
$604K
5Y IRR vs. strategy hurdlescore 8% · value-add 13% · opp 18%
0%8%13%18%+
AI deal commentary
  • Condition score top decile vs. Austin comps
  • 12-mo forecast turns positive as supply eases
  • Rent-to-price within 50bps of submarket median
  • Austin HPI still correcting — spot cap rates light for stabilized SFR
  • Property taxes modeled 8% higher at reassessment
Metro-level AI signals
Supply / demand from hierarchical time-series · rent forecast from submarket ML · risk from climate + credit overlays
Atlanta-Sandy Springs
GA
$385K
+4.8%
Tight
Accelerating
+4.6%
Compressing
Low
Overweight
Miami-Fort Lauderdale
FL
$572K
+6.7%
Balanced
Accelerating
+5.2%
Flat
Elevated
Overweight
Phoenix-Mesa
AZ
$439K
+3.5%
Balanced
Accelerating
+3.8%
Flat
Moderate
Market-weight
Dallas-Fort Worth
TX
$395K
+1.9%
Oversupply
Accelerating
+2.1%
Flat
Low
Market-weight
New York-Newark
NY
$625K
+2.8%
Tight
Steady
+2.6%
Flat
Moderate
Market-weight
Chicago-Naperville
IL
$343K
+4.1%
Balanced
Steady
+3.0%
Flat
Moderate
Market-weight
Houston-The Woodlands
TX
$338K
+2.3%
Balanced
Accelerating
+2.8%
Flat
Low
Market-weight
Austin-Round Rock
TX
$452K
-1.2%
Oversupply
Steady
+0.4%
Expanding
Moderate
Underweight
Los Angeles-Long Beach
CA
$892K
+5.4%
Tight
Steady
+2.1%
Flat
Elevated
Underweight

Housing Market Indices

Key national housing indicators — price indices, sales pace, and market temperature gauges.

+4.82%
318.42
Case-Shiller US National Index
+5.14%
332.15
Case-Shiller 20-City Index
+6.03%
421.30
FHFA House Price Index Index
+3.27%
$417,500
Median Home Price USD
-1.82%
4.15M
Existing Home Sales SAAR
+2.41%
662K
New Home Sales SAAR

Mortgage Rates

Current US mortgage rates across fixed, adjustable, and government-backed products.

ProductRateChangeWeek Ago
30-Year Fixed6.87%-0.04%6.91%
15-Year Fixed6.12%-0.06%6.18%
5/1 ARM6.34%+0.02%6.32%
30-Year Jumbo7.02%-0.03%7.05%
30-Year FHA6.42%-0.05%6.47%
30-Year VA6.28%-0.03%6.31%

Key Market Metrics

Fundamental supply, demand, and pricing indicators for the US real estate market.

Residential
6.4%
National Vacancy Rate
Investment
5.2%
Cap Rate (Avg Multifamily)
SAAR
1.42M
Housing Starts
SAAR
1.49M
Building Permits
US Census
65.6%
Homeownership Rate
US Census
6.6%
Rental Vacancy Rate
Existing Homes
3.4
Months of Supply
NAR
72.3
Pending Home Sales Index

Regional Spotlight — Top US Metros

Median price, YoY appreciation, and inventory levels, layered with AI opportunity / risk scores and a metro-level allocation signal.

New York-Newark
$625,000
+2.8%
2.1 mo
58
44
Market-weight
Los Angeles-Long Beach
$892,400
+5.4%
2.8 mo
42
61
Underweight
Chicago-Naperville
$342,500
+4.1%
2.4 mo
61
38
Market-weight
Dallas-Fort Worth
$395,000
+1.9%
3.6 mo
64
32
Market-weight
Houston-The Woodlands
$338,200
+2.3%
3.8 mo
66
34
Market-weight
Miami-Fort Lauderdale
$572,000
+6.7%
4.2 mo
78
56
Overweight
Phoenix-Mesa
$438,500
+3.5%
3.2 mo
72
41
Market-weight
Atlanta-Sandy Springs
$385,000
+4.8%
2.9 mo
81
29
Overweight
Austin-Round Rock
$452,300
-1.2%
4.5 mo
49
52
Underweight

Residential REITs

Apartment communities, single-family rentals, and manufactured housing — driven by housing demand, migration, and affordability dynamics.

+1.15%
$68.42
EQR Equity Residential
Mkt Cap $26.4B·Yield 3.82%
+0.78%
$212.30
AVB AvalonBay Communities
Mkt Cap $30.1B·Yield 3.21%
-0.42%
$34.85
INVH Invitation Homes
Mkt Cap $21.3B·Yield 3.05%

Commercial & Office REITs

Office towers, co-working spaces, and mixed-use properties — sensitive to remote work trends, lease rates, and occupancy cycles.

-1.34%
$72.18
BXP Boston Properties
Mkt Cap $11.4B·Yield 5.42%
-2.17%
$28.90
VNO Vornado Realty Trust
Mkt Cap $5.5B·Yield 2.08%
+0.93%
$58.45
SLG SL Green Realty
Mkt Cap $3.8B·Yield 5.14%

Industrial & Logistics REITs

Warehouses, distribution centers, and last-mile fulfillment — fueled by e-commerce growth and supply chain reshoring.

+0.47%
$126.40
PLD Prologis Inc.
Mkt Cap $117B·Yield 2.88%
+1.62%
$142.75
DLR Digital Realty Trust
Mkt Cap $43.2B·Yield 3.42%
+0.31%
$38.20
STAG STAG Industrial
Mkt Cap $6.9B·Yield 3.85%

Retail REITs

Shopping malls, strip centers, net-lease properties, and outlet centers — consumer spending exposure and lease structure plays.

+0.54%
$152.60
SPG Simon Property Group
Mkt Cap $49.8B·Yield 5.15%
+0.28%
$54.82
O Realty Income Corp.
Mkt Cap $47.2B·Yield 5.68%
-0.18%
$42.35
NNN NNN REIT Inc.
Mkt Cap $7.7B·Yield 5.32%

Healthcare REITs

Senior housing, medical offices, hospitals, and life science properties — aging demographics and healthcare spending tailwinds.

+1.24%
$98.42
WELL Welltower Inc.
Mkt Cap $56.3B·Yield 2.48%
+0.65%
$48.15
VTR Ventas Inc.
Mkt Cap $19.2B·Yield 3.74%
-0.38%
$32.80
OHI Omega Healthcare
Mkt Cap $7.9B·Yield 8.17%

Specialty & Infrastructure REITs

Cell towers, data centers, self-storage, and timberland — secular growth from digital infrastructure and alternative property types.

+0.82%
$202.15
AMT American Tower Corp.
Mkt Cap $94B·Yield 3.18%
+0.45%
$298.50
PSA Public Storage
Mkt Cap $52.4B·Yield 4.02%
-0.56%
$108.25
CCI Crown Castle Inc.
Mkt Cap $40B·Yield 5.72%

How the models work — and where they don’t

AI is raising the floor on speed and consistency in US real estate analysis, but it’s also concentrating decisions in models that end-users can’t always inspect. We publish the mechanics and the gaps alongside the numbers.

Valuation

Ensemble AVM: gradient-boosted trees over hedonic features, plus computer vision on listing photos for condition. Confidence band reflects comp density and recent volatility.

Underwriting

OM / rent-roll / T-12 extraction via LLM + OCR, mapped to a standardized pro forma. Deal score blends IRR hurdles, DSCR, and market regime indicators.

Market signals

Metro forecasts from hierarchical time-series models, combined with mobile location panels, supply pipeline data, and climate / credit risk overlays.

Known limits

Thin markets (rural, luxury, trophy office) widen error bands. Regime shifts (rate shocks, policy) flow through before retraining catches up. Bias audits published annually.