miscwill-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027Open
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?: December 31
YesBuy Yes
20¢
20% implied probability
NoBuy No
81¢
81% implied probability
Volume$25.26M
Liquidity$940.9K
Open Interest—
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Yes Price$0.20
No Price$0.81
ResolvedPending
OutcomePending
Probability Distribution
Yes 20%
81% No
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Details
ID13248
Platformpolymarket
Categorymisc
Subcategorywill-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
StatusOpen
CreatedApr 18, 2026
ExpiresDec 31, 2026
Resolved—