Aluminum
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Price Chart
At a Glance
Aluminum is the most widely used non-ferrous metal, essential for transportation (automotive, aerospace), construction, packaging, and electrical applications. It is energy-intensive to produce — smelting consumes ~4% of global electricity — making energy costs a key factor in supply economics. China accounts for ~60% of global production, while the West relies increasingly on recycled aluminum.
Supply & Demand
Supply
Demand
Key Drivers
Energy Costs
bullishAluminum smelting is extremely energy-intensive. High electricity prices (especially in Europe) can shut in capacity.
China Capacity Cap
bullishChina has capped primary smelting at 45M tonnes to reduce carbon emissions, constraining future supply growth.
EV Lightweighting
bullishAutomakers are increasing aluminum content per vehicle to offset battery weight in EVs, driving demand growth.
Sanctions Risk
neutralRussia's Rusal produces ~6% of global supply. Sanctions or trade restrictions could tighten markets.
Recycling Growth
bearishRecycled aluminum requires 95% less energy. Growing recycling rates are adding to secondary supply.
China Property
bearishChina's construction sector is a major consumer. Property market weakness dampens domestic demand.
Historical Returns
| Year | Annual Return | Performance |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +3.20% | |
| 2024 | +8.40% | |
| 2023 | -0.80% | |
| 2022 | -15.30% | |
| 2021 | +42.10% | |
| 2020 | +10.50% | |
| 2019 | -2.10% | |
| 2018 | -17.50% | |
| 2017 | +32.50% | |
| 2016 | +13.70% |
Related Commodities
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